With signs that Pakistan is now willing to back a non-Pakistani for UNSG, attention is turning to whether Singapore Prime Minister Goh Chok Tong will enter the race. He has often been mentioned as a likely late entry. He is reportedly seeking assurances from at least three P5 members before he throws his hat in the ring.
The immediate impact of Goh entering the race would be the unraveling of ASEAN’s backing of Thailand’s Surakiart Sathirathai. As recently as the beginning of this month, Goh was reaffirming Singapore’s support for the ASEAN-endorsed candidate.
“It could be a Singaporean. At one time, we actually talked through that, whether we should field a candidate. But there were no volunteers from Singapore,” said SM Goh… “We decided that since Asean has a candidate in the Thai DPM Surakiat Sathirathai, we supported him and that is our position,” Mr Goh added.
China is expected to be favorable to a Goh candidacy, at least more so than to the current field of candidates. The UK is also reportedly encouraging Goh to run, which suggests the U.S. would not be opposed to him. The key signal however remains with China. Any signal from China that the field contains worthy candidates would be a significant development, likely signaling their interest in the latest competitor.
Goh’s nomination would likely intially contrast his age and experience in a foriegn ministry with Tharoor, his outsider status with Dhanapala and, in contrast to Ban and Surakiart, his greater salability to China.
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